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Monday 28 December 2020

Congratulations, Shri DPS Negiji

( Chief Labour Commissioner / clc-mole@nic.in )

Context :

Govt to launch new quarterly jobs survey from March 2021 / 21NewsTV – 28 Dec

Extract :

The federal government will launch a new quarterly employment survey from March next year that can amalgamate two current surveys; the Quarterly Employment Survey (QES) and the Space Body Institution Survey (AFES).

A extra expansive model of the prevailing enumeration workout routines, the brand new survey is prone to be christened the All India Quarterly Base Institution Survey (AIQBES), and is geared toward plugging the evaluation gaps in understanding the real employment situation within the nation.

A senior labour bureau official, who will lead the efforts, mentioned current surveys had a restricted scope in that they solely covered just a few formal sector institutions and had been restricted to covering those who employed greater than 10 individuals.

In contrast, the brand new survey seeks to incorporate informal establishments, cover those with less than 10 workers, and impact a 10-fold improve in sample size

“The federal government thought it prudent to scale up the sample size so that a complete employment survey is carried out and which displays the right image of employment within the nation,” mentioned D P S Negi, chief labour commissioner.

The Quarterly Employment Survey was halted in 2017 when the National Statistical Office launched the primary Periodic Labour Power Survey. Nonetheless, the S P Mookherjee-led knowledgeable group roped in to launch the AIQBES, is known to have argued that a quarterly, establishment-based survey, fairly than an annual, family survey can be more practical in ascertaining the employment and unemployment scenario within the nation.

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Dear Shri Negiji,

Without doubt this proposed AIQBES will be an improvement over the past QES ( halted in 2017 )

But still, it will have following limitations :

Ø Even with a much bigger SAMPLE SIZE , results may not reflect “ right image of employment “ within the nation , considering that we have 65 million MSME employing 130 million persons ( ave of 2 / unit ) . It is impossible to cover all of these MANUALLY

Ø Even among the large organized sector units, it may not be possible to cover even 10 % of these MANUALLY

Ø If the enumerators were to use paper forms for compiling data , that would require a huge amount of data to be digitized through manual input – taking months

Ø By the time survey results get published , ( usually 3 / 4 quarters after the exercise ), the results would be only “ historic / obsolete “ – not of much use for taking quick remedial actions

Ø Manual survey would require employing thousands of persons ( needing training )

Ø I would urge you to go through my following earlier e mails on the subject and consider gradual implementation of :

Ø From BAD to MAD …………………………….[ 01 June 2016 ]

Ø MAD goes to Mandi ……………………………[ 02 Jan 2020 ]

With regards,

Hemen Parekh / hcp@RecruitGuru.com / 29 Dec 2020

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Unending Caravan of Data-Bases ? ………………………………..[ 20 Jan 2020 ]

Budget Suggest - 2017

2) In A State Of Denial ?

3) Taxing Times For Robots ?

4) Discovering The Obvious ?

5) Employment : Measuring Vs Creating

6) Here Is A Clue : Get Out Of Their Way !

7) Ideas To Create Jobs

8) Who Will Obsolete Whom ?

9) Automation Is Inescapable

10) In Wonderland Of Start-Ups

11) Shop Open 24 / 7 ? Can Be A Game Changer !

12) Progress : Of A Doubtful Kind ?

13) Easier Said Than Done !

14) Will Holograms Beat H1b Visa Ban ?

15) Incentivizing Employment?

16) Create Wealth To Create Jobs

17) Fiscal Deficit & Indian Economy ?

18) Create Self - Employment

19) Baby Steps Won’t Do !

20) A Ticking Time-Bomb ?

21) Re-Skilling ? Can You Be Specific ?

22) Quarterly Labour Survey :A Still-Born Child ?

23) How About Virtual Call Centers ?

24) A Freebie That Cannot Be Faulted ?

25) Advantage , Incumbent ?

26) How Much Capital To Create One Job ?

27) Credible Data On Job Creation ? Here Is How

28) Tomorrow's Headlines Today ?

29) Everything Else Being Equal

30) Missing The Woods For The Tree ?

31) The Next Simplification : Arm ?

32) Universal Basic Income

33) Who Will create Jobs ?

34) How To Break The Vicious Circle ?

35) Annual Employment Survey?

36) Prioritising Is Not Easy !

37) Monitoring Is Even More Difficult !

339) Ready To Be Ridiculed

40) Who Is Clueless ?

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CC:

molegangwar@yahoo.com

santosh.gangwar.bareilly@gmail.com

sc.joshi62@nic.in

Sunday 9 July 2017

Employment : Measuring vs Creating

The “ Task Force on Improving Employment Data “ ( headed by Shri Arvind Panagariya ) , is ready with its recommendations , which are :

· Scrap the following current methods of collecting such data :

# NSSO Employment and Unemployment Survey

# Annual Labour Force Survey

# Population Census

# Economic Census

# Annual Survey of Industries

# Quarterly Employment Survey

Read :

Quarterly LabourSurvey : A Still Born Child ? [ 22 March 2017 ]

https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2017/03/quarterly-labour-survey-still-born-child.html

# Micro Small and Medium Enterprises ( MSME ) Census

# Sources such as EPFO / ESIC and NPS

· Replace the above with a more robust household and enterprise survey

· In the proposed Survey, cover following categories of workers :

# All workers covered under EPFO, ESIC or any other social sector schemes

# Government and other Public Sector Employees

# Workers having coverage under private insurance or pension schemes or provident funds

# Workers subject to tax deduction at source on their incomes should henceforth be considered as formal workers

[ Read :

From BAD to MAD ( 01 June 2016 )

https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/06/from-bad-to-mad.html

· Make the GSTN number as the Universal Enterprise and Establishment Number , based on which the Annual Enterprise Survey could be carried out

Availability of a Universal Goods and Service Tax Identification Number for businesses and list of borrowers from Micro Units Development and Refinance Agency Bank ( MUDRA Bank ) can help provide sample for the Enterprise Survey

GSTN number to be extended to all commercial and non-commercial entities wishing to register

{ Read my suggestion :

An Aadhar for Corporate ? [ 12 May 2016 }

https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/05/an-aadhar-for-corporate.html

· Creating a Central Server from which all Government Data can be accessed

[ Read : E – Governance ? ( 03 April 2014 )

https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2014/04/e-governance.html

· Annual Survey of enterprises excluded from GST , including enterprises in Health and Education

Although this reform may provide in future , a more accurate MEASUREMENT of UN-EMPLOYMENT

, the larger question that remains unanswered is of EMPLOYMENT :

“ WHO will create , HOW MANY jobs , and WHEN , and HOW , and WHERE ? “

This question assumes significance , given the following figures :

· During FY 13-15 , when 25.9 Million degree-holders passed out from universities , only 1 MILLION jobs were created

· From FY 11 to FY 15 , job growth in Private Sector has been at 3 % per annum

· 2 out of 3 jobs in India’s INFORMAL SECTOR ( excluding agriculture and construction ) , are in businesses engaged in TRADE or providing SERVICES

My own views on EMPLOYMENT GENERATION , are covered by some 162 blogs ( each sent as E mail to Central Policy Makers , over the past 4 years )

Just type “ Employment “ in “ Search this Blog “ at :

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs

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09 July 2017

Tuesday 9 May 2017

Credible Data on Job Creation ? Here is How

Hindustan Times ( 10 May 2017 ) carries following news report :

“ Modi sets up high-level panel to provide credible data for employment policies “

Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Tuesday set up a high-level task force under Niti Aayog vice-chairman Arvind Panagariya to fine tune jobs data so that the government can frame policies to spur employment.

The task force will recommend solutions which can be implemented in a time-bound manner.

“The PM has directed that this task be expedited so that policies on employment can be formulated with a proper appreciation of impacts, based on credible data,” a PMO release said.

The task force also includes labour secretary Sathiyavathy, chief statistician TCA Ananth, Pulak Ghosh of Niti Aayog and Teamlease chief Manish Sabharwal.

At present, data on employment is collected and published by certain agencies including the Labour Bureau but the coverage is very small.

The Labour Bureau data covers only a few sectors and the methodology is not based on updated panel of survey respondents.

“The net result has been that both policy making and analysis are conducted in a data vacuum,” the PMO said.

Asserting that the government attaches the highest priority to job creation, the PMO said, “India suffers from a lack of reliable, timely data on employment, which has made it difficult for policy makers and independent observers to assess the extent of employment generation at different points of time.”

Modi had directed his ministers to come up with a solution to fill this long standing gap in the country’s statistical architecture.

In the last budget session of the Parliament, minister of state for planning Rao Inderjit Singh admitted that the overall unemployment was rising, and the rate was highest among the Other Backward Classes (OBCs). The unemployment rate has increased to 5% from just 3.8% in 2011.

In January, a United Nations report said India may witness marginal increase in unemployment between 2017 and 2018.

The World Employment and Social Outlook report said: “Unemployment in India is projected to increase from 17.7 million last year to 17.8 million in 2017 and 18 million next year. In percentage terms, unemployment rate will remain at 3.4 per cent in 2017-18.”

Dear Shri Sathiyavathy / TCA Ananth / Pulak Ghosh / Manish Sabharwal :

There are only following technology-based solutions to compile “ Credible Employment Data “ and for job-generation

And compile such data :

· Automatically and Unbiased ( without human intervention / dependence )

· Dynamically ( on continuous / on-going basis – 24*365 )

· Accurately ( with 99 % accuracy )

Please consider to implement my following suggestions ( earlier sent as Emails ) :

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From BAD to MAD ( 01 June 2016 )

{ https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/06/from-bad-to-mad.html }

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· QuarterlyLabour Survey : A Still-Born Child ? ( 22 March 2017 )

{ https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2017/03/quarterly-labour-survey-still-born-child.html }

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· AnnualEmployment Survey ? ( 26 Oct 2015 )

{ https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2015/10/annual-employment-survey.html }

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· NationalCareer Service Portal ( 21 July 2015 )

{ https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2015/07/national-career-service-portal.html }

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· JobMelas are NOT an Answer ! ( 13 Feb 2017 )

{ https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2017/02/job-melas-are-not-answer.html }

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· Incentivizing Employment ? ( 24 Aug 2016 )

{ https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/08/incentivizing-employment.html }

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· 50Million Jobs in 5 months ? ( 24 June 2016 )

{ https://myblogepage.blogspot.com/2016/06/50-million-new-jobs-in-5-months.html }

10 May 2017

www.hemenparekh.in / blogs