Hi Friends,

Even as I launch this today ( my 80th Birthday ), I realize that there is yet so much to say and do. There is just no time to look back, no time to wonder,"Will anyone read these pages?"

With regards,
Hemen Parekh
27 June 2013

Now as I approach my 90th birthday ( 27 June 2023 ) , I invite you to visit my Digital Avatar ( www.hemenparekh.ai ) – and continue chatting with me , even when I am no more here physically

Tuesday 11 August 2015

COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES ARE TRANSIENT




What is the significance behind following recent announcements ?


#  Indian company , Apollo Tyres will invest 475 million Euros , to set up a
     tyres manufacturing plant in Hungary  ?


#  Chinese company , Foxconn will invest $ 20 billion , to set up 10-12
    factories in India , in next 5 years ?


My guess :


 #  For manufacture of tyres , Apollo finds that labour-costs in Hungary are
     lower than the same in India .

     Also , that it has a huge export-market for its tyres in Europe , so it
     makes sense to set up a plant nearby in order to reduce transport costs


#   Same reasons for Foxconn , for its electronic products , sold world-wide


Conclusion :


#   Each country enjoys certain " Competitive Advantage " ( over other
      countries ) , at a given point of time , for a given product or service

     In present cases , that could be , " Labour Costs "


But " Competitive Advantages " are transient  !  Never permanent  !


And these may not be the same for ALL products or services , at ALL times !

Eg:


For a highly automated product like a " Integrated Computer Chip " , labour costs are an insignificant percentage of total manufacturing costs , whereas Capital Costs ( plant / machinery ) are a major element


For this reason , for manufacture of such chips , countries having low labour costs , cannot claim that as an advantage


Again , capital intensive manufacturing needs huge amount of finance, where India is at a " disadvantage " , vis-a-vis developed countries , due to its very high rate of interest on borrowing


So , each country , has to remain on constant look-out for its own competitive advantages , at each point of time (- and before it ceases to be an advantage )


In case of Foxconn , its Chairman Gou , even went to the extent of saying :


" In our Maharashtra-based factory , we will employ labour-intensive manufacturing processes "


What he meant ( but did not say ) :


" Only till such time , Indian labour-costs rise and catch up with the labour costs in our Chinese factories - where , we have started installing robots  "


That reminds me of the incidence ( reported in book " Steve Jobs " ) where President Obama , asked Steve Jobs to stop outsourcing Apple products to Foxconn and move their manufacture to USA , in order to create jobs in USA


Steve's answer ( - since , he never minced his words ! ) :


Over my dead body !


[ And Obama dare not ask this question to current Apple CEO , Tim Cook , who continues with the same " Competing Policy " for last 4 years ! ]


Obviously , Steve had no love lost for jobs of his fellow citizens !


It is no different with Foxconn Chairman Gou , whose only concern is to keep Foxconn , globally competitive , no matter , where it manufactures its products - any exhortation from President Jin Ping , notwithstanding !


And , I get a feeling , that if PM Narendra Modiji , were to try and persuade Apollo Chairman , Shri Kanwar , not to put up that plant in Hungary but set it up in India to create jobs in India , he might get a somewhat similar - but of course , a vastly polite - answer  !


Within past 12 months , India's trade imbalance with China has gone up from $ 36 billion to approx $ 48 billion


With yesterday's devaluation of Chinese Currency by 2 % , this may get worse


Of course , this devaluation , will not lower the labour costs in China , which will still keep rising


So , devaluation can only be a " Transient Competitive Advantage " for the Chinese Manufacturers  !


On the other hand , of the final cost of a " Manufactured Product " :


>   labour costs  =  10 % - 20%  

>   material costs ( including bought-out components ) =  50% - 60%

>   overhead costs ( selling / admin / advt / interest etc ) = 20 % - 40 %




So , how much of " Final Cost " can be reduced by a 10 % increase in :


>  Labour Productivity  ( thru mechanization / automation  ? )

>  Materials Productivity ( thru Vendor Development for better quality ? )

>  Overhead Productivity ( thru Computerization of Manual Systems ? )


It would seem to me that , as far as increasing our "Competitive Advantage " in Manufactured Products is concerned , the same lies in increasing our " Materials Productivity "

Our top most priority should be upgrade the capabilities of our 40-50 Million MSME ,from whom the organized large companies , purchase components / sub-assemblies


Large companies should focus on R&D / Design / Buying / Final Assembly and Quality Control , leaving manufacture of components / sub-assembly to MSME units


Only this can help us to continuously increase our Competitive Advantage , even as labour costs keep rising in the large exporting companies

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

hemen  parekh

12  August  2015

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Monday 10 August 2015

Maid in India ?



That is the title of a news-report that appeared in Economic Times ( 06 Aug 2015 )

It seems Central Labour Ministry is about to come out with a ,

"  National Policy for Domestic Workers " ,

whose salient provisions could be :

>    Hiring of domestic workers only through a Placement Agency

>    Employer/Employee to sign a formal Contract , listing " Standard
      Practices " (- like , Model Standing Order / Show-cause Notice /
      Domestic Inquiry etc ? )

>   Placement Agency + 2 Trade Union Reps to be the " Third Parties "
     to the contract ( - to be signed before a Labour Commissioner  ? )

>   Employer will be responsible for :

    *   Social Security

    *   Payment of Minimum Wages ( - what about " Annual Bonus " ? )

    *   Weekly Off

    *   Maternity Leave of 2 months

    *   30 days of Paid Leave per year

    *   Contribution to ESIS / EPF

    *   Providing proper accommodation ( - will 1BHK suffice ?  )

    *   Providing Meals  ( - if employed by a Govt Officer )


Although not mentioned in the article , I have no doubt that the proposed Policy / Act / Law , will also cover , explicit provisions , covering :

  *   Detailed " Job Descriptions " for each type of domestic job

  *   Grades ( Unskilled / Semi Skilled / Highly Skilled , etc )

  *   Wage / Salary Scales

  *   Dearness Allowance  ( linked to CPI for 100 % neutralization  ? )

  *   House Rent Allowance ( when house is not provided )

  *   Leave Travel Allowance ( not necessarily , to home town visits ?  )

  *   Children's Education Allowance

  *   Bachelor's Allowance ( for employees without children ? )

  *   Outstation Allowance / Travelling Allowance

  *  " Stay - at - home " Allowance , when employer is on holiday  !

  *   Washing Allowance ( for uniforms to be supplied by Employer )

  *   Local Conveyance Allowance ( when Scooter is not provided ? )

  *   Lunch Allowance ( when meals are not provided )

  *   Shift Allowance ( if required to work in second shift )

  *   Overtime Wages @ 250 % of normal wages

  *   Machine Operating Allowance

      [  if required to operate domestic appliances such as Grinder/Mixer ,
      Dish Washer , Washing Machine , Micro-wave Oven , Gas Stove ,
      Vacuum Cleaner , Refrigerator , Pressure Cooker etc  ]

  *   Compensatory Working Allowance

  *   Casual Leave / Sick Leave / Accident Leave

  *   Leave without Pay

  *   Accumulation / Encashment of PL

  *   Paid Holidays

  *   Effective Working Hours / Shift Timings

  *   ID badge / Job Time Card / Clock Punching

  *   Supply of Uniforms / Safety Shoes / Umbrellas etc

  *   Providing of Creche ( for Employee's Children )

  *   A clearly defined / time-bound , Promotion Policy

  *   Probationary Period / Retirement Age

  *   Grievance Procedure............... etc



Have I left out any other provision ? Readers are invited to contribute

What could be the implications if this Act is passed  ?

#    Tremendous increase in corruption

      {  Always happens when you pass an " Un-Observable Law " , which gets
       broken , a million times a day ! }

#    Birth of a " Parallel / Illegal " Employment Market

#    Endless litigation ( with great demand for Labour Lawyers ! )

#    Huge slowdown in hiring of domestic help , rendering millions of
      domestic servants , jobless

#    Deterioration of Work Ethics  ?

 #   Huge boost to manufacture of Domestic Appliances ( MakeinIndia ? ),
      which may be able to absorb some of the domestic help rendered
      jobless - after re-skilling  . Making best of a bad bargain !

Does anyone get a sense that we are trying to fix things which do not need
fixing  ?

Have we got our priorities , all mixed up  ?

And pray , when did you last try to hire a house maid ?

If you too , feel that we should leave this matter to be settled , one-on-one , between the Employer and the Domestic Worker , do forward this blog to :

Shri Bandaru Dattatreyaji, Minister for Labour (bandaru@sansad.nic.in )
Or send your feedback from  : www.labour.gov.in

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

hemen  parekh

11 Aug  2015

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Thursday 6 August 2015

ROMP - A Panacea ?



In past few years , our Lok Sabha has been repeatedly paralyzed by slogan shouting MPs

Perhaps , the past two weeks were the worst in the history of Lok Sabha , with no business conducted

Someone suggested that MPs be made to lose their salaries for this period , following the universally / legally accepted rule : No Work , No Pay

This won't work . Our crore-pati MPs could not care a hoot for loss of pay !

Only thing that might work :

A mobile app called , " ROMP / Recall Our MP " ( Idea for a Start-Up ? )

Only voters who qualify as follows , will be permitted to use this App , in order to recall an MP :

*  He must be on Electoral Roll

*  He must have actually voted ( even if NOTA ) , in the last general election
   { This criteria is bound to boost voting percentage to 95 %  ! No need to
      make voting compulsory  ! }

*  He can " Vote to Recall " , only MP who got elected from the constituency
   from where he cast his vote in last election

*  He can vote only if there is no Criminal charges filed against him

*  The App itself will accept his " Rating / Vote " only on two days of the year
   announced by the Election Commission for each constituency

*  Any other criteria that readers may wish to suggest ( crowd-sourcing )


ROMP will show following criteria , with " YES "  or "  NO " buttons against each :

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOG-IN :

#    Suspend MP for next Session................................ YES.......NO

#    Recall MP.............................................................YES ..... NO

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Justify your recommendation by " Rating " your MP , below
( Unless rated on each criteria , your vote will be invalid )

Is this MP ( who is being rated by you ) :

#     Honest.............................................. YES........NO

#     Of high Integrity................................. YES........ NO

#     Sincere.............................................. YES........ NO

#     Hard-working ....................................  YES........ NO

#     Punctual.............................................. YES.......  NO

#     Dignified............................................  YES........  NO

#     Follows Speaker's Orders.....................   YES........  NO

#     Good Listener.......................................  YES......... NO

#     Awaits his turn to speak.......................... YES........ NO

#     Asks only relevant questions..................  YES........ NO

#     Approachable to Voters..........................  YES....... NO

#    Answers Voters' Emails promptly...............  YES......  NO

#    Provides regular feedback to Voters ............. YES.......NO

#    Addresses other MPs with respect...............  YES..........NO

                                        SUBMIT
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Conditions governing use of  ROMP  :

>   It can be downloaded from the web site of Election Commission , upon
     filling up a form, requiring all kinds of proof that you are a genuine voter

>   Upon being satisfied ( that you are a genuine voter ) , the Server will
     issue a User ID and Password, to log in before you can use the App.

     It would be better still , if biometric identification is integrated with the
     App , since AADHAR cards are already having such identification

>   ROMP can be downloaded only once
  
>   At least 66 % of the Voters who had actually voted in that Constituency
     during the last General Election , should take part in ROMP event for it
     to be considered valid
    

>  Only in case more than 2/3rd ( > 66 % ) of " Ratings " cast recommend
    Suspension or Recall , will the Election Commission / Speaker act
    according to People's Mandate

>  However , in case where those 66 % are divided between " Recall " and
    " Suspend " , then " Suspend " will prevail

>  Rating results will be made public on Election Commission web site on the
    next day and also published in leading Newspapers

I do believe that the present NDA government is keen to introduce / pass ,
"  RIGHT  TO  RECALL  BILL  " in Lok Sabha as part of Electoral Reforms

Except that the combined opposition may defeat it in Rajya Sabha  !

Which MP would want to sign his own death-warrant  ?

But even without a legal backing , I feel ROMP would have a salutary effect
on the behavior of our MPs , who would know that they are being watched,
and their conduct is being evaluated ! - and will be made public  !


ROMP , along with my earlier suggested mobile Apps ,

( look up hemenparekh .... in )

>     VotesApp

>     I SIN><U SIN ,


will take us many steps closer to a Digital India

If you endorse my views , please forward to all Policy Makers

If not , please do come up with a better idea !

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

hemen  parekh

07 Aug  2015


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Tuesday 4 August 2015

MUAMMAR GADDAFI - A VISIONARY ?



A report says , thousands of illegal North African immigrants swarmed into France/Britain undersea tunnel

On both sides of the tunnel , respective governments are putting up fences / barricades and deploying thousands of policemen , to stop these immigrants from entering Britain

In the first 7 months of 2015 , some 190,000 north Africans have tried to cross the Mediterranean from Libya to Italy

2,000 died on the way

188,000 were rescued on high seas and permitted to land in Italy

That is some 1,000 per day  ! Soon to become 10,000 per day  !


And , whereas some European leaders are taking a humanitarian view of this illegal migration , others want to stop this " Human Flood "


May be those who realize that these " Waves " of persecuted and starving people  are unstoppable , dare not blame their governments for ignoring what  Guardian  reported on  01 Sept 2010 , as follows :


"In a highly theatrical visit to Italy this week, Gaddafi warned that Europe would turn "black" unless it was more rigorous in turning back immigrants. Libya is a key transit point for illegal migration from Africa to Europe. The Libyan leader said the bill for sealing the crossing routes would be at least €5bn a year.


While in Rome Gaddafi advised Europeans to convert to Islam and sought to bolster his claim for billions from Europe by warning that millions of Africans were seeking to migrate to the EU.


"We don't know what will be the reaction of the white and Christian Europeans faced with this influx of starving and ignorant Africans," the Libyan leader told a Rome meeting attended by Silvio Berlusconi, the Italian prime minister. "We don't know if Europe will remain an advanced and united continent or if it will be destroyed, as happened with the barbarian invasions."



You may have umpteen reasons to blame Gaddafi but you cannot fault him on his vision !


I foresee something similar happening to Australia in the next 5 years , with millions of poor / starving people from all over Asia , flooding its shores


History has a habit of repeating itself  !


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

hemen  parekh

05  August  2015


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Added  on  02  July  2023 :

UK's Sunak plans deal with Italy on Mediterranean migrants, the Telegraph reports  


Extract :

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is planning a deal with Italy to stem the number of migrants crossing the Mediterranean and return them to North Africa, the Telegraph reported on Friday.

Sunak had sent Cabinet Secretary and Head of the Civil Service Simon Case to Italy in mid-June for two days of meetings with top Italian government officials to work on a deal, the newspaper reported. A government source familiar with the matter confirmed to Reuters that Case was in Italy, without providing any additional details.

"If we are going to be successful in tackling illegal migration we have got to deal with the issue at source as well as focus on small boats," the Telegraph quoted a government source as saying.

The UK and Italy signed a Memorandum of Understanding in April to tackle illegal migration under "Strategic Migration Partnership."

"We are cooperating closely with Italy and other European partners to stem illegal migration and tackle people-smuggling gangs which operate cross-border," a UK government spokesperson said. "This is a shared challenge."

Britain had a record 45,000 people coming to the country in small boats across the Channel last year, mainly from France, according to government figures. More than 11,000 have arrived so far this year, according to the government.

Sunak of the Conservative Party has made stopping boat arrivals one of his top five priorities. He has been criticised by some members of his own party and the public for not moving quickly enough to crack down on irregular migration.


Saturday 1 August 2015

A WELCOME PROBLEM ?

India's trade imbalance with China is approx $ 36 billion


With slowing down of Chinese economy and speeding up of Indian economy , it is quite possible that this may get worse 



How ?


>  To grow at a faster rate , India will need to import more raw materials and 


     components from wherever these can be got cheaper


>  To counter its own slow down , Chinese companies will compete fiercely 


    ( with the rest of the World ) to export its products to India



This is evident in supply of PV Solar Panels from China, where Chinese companies have dropped their prices drastically


This price drop has enabled Chinese companies to export to India, PV Systems worth  :


>  Rs 352 Crores  in 2010-11


>  Rs 3,745 Crores in 2014-15



Result :


>  India's domestic power output , using PV Systems , went up from 1,000 MW in 2010-11 to 4,000 MW in 2014-15  !


>  Average solar power tariff went down from Rs 17 per unit to Rs 5 per unit !



Now , Indian PV System Manufacturers are very unhappy with this Chinese " dumping " , for two reasons :



>  Their annual production capacity is only 1300 MW of PV Systems


>  They cannot match the Chinese prices




But the Power Minister seems to be saying :




"  My target for Solar energy generation is 1,00,000 MW by 2022 .


   Of this , Indian Manufacturers can deliver , no more than 10,000 MW

   And I want to bring down Solar Power tariff below the current average , 


   which is possible only when " Rs / MW of installed capacity " becomes less


   than that for coal-based power plants 


   So , I must buy Solar Plants at less than Rs 5 crores / MW installed capacity


   Only Chinese companies can supply me at Rs 3 Crores / MW

   For 1 lakh MW ( 100 GW ) target , I need Rs 3 lakh*crores of funds

   And the Chinese companies will also get me " Suppliers Credit " @ 2% interest

   Last week , 649 companies from all over the World , bid for 20.6 GW of Solar
  
   Power auction in Brazil , which is expected to place orders by Nov 2015

  I must place my orders on Chinese Companies before Brazil ties up their      production capacities ! 
   
   Remember , 100 GW of Solar Power will help us,

   >   Light up 5 Crore homes ( @ 50,000 homes / 100 MW )

   >   Generate 15 lakh " green jobs "

   >   Raise our GDP by 0.5 % 

Must act fast  ! !

  

   



Only thing Power Minister would not say publicly is :



"  If importing Solar PV Systems from China worth Rs 3 lakh*crores is going to


 worsen our trade balance , please treat it as a welcome problem ! "


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


hemen  parekh


03  Aug  2015


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Non Performing Assets ?

Central Government just announced a package of Rs 70,000 Crores for re-capitalization of Public Sector Banks ( PSB ) , spread over 4 years

PSBs are carrying on their books , NPA ( Non Performing Assets ) of some Rs 2.8 Lakh Crores ( 70 % of Rs 4 lakh crores for all banks )

NPA is a euphemism for bank-loans given to rich businessmen / industrialists , who are refusing to re-pay !

Apart from defaulting on loan repayments , some 17 of them are even defaulting to pay up Rs 2.14 lakh crores worth of Income Tax !

From where is Central Government going to get those Rs 70,000 crores ?

From my tax money 

I cannot complain  !

Because , if the Government did not dole out this largess , then those banks may declare bankruptcy 

And I will lose all my savings and fixed deposits  

Better to pay some tax than lose my life's savings !

But what about those tax-payers who have no bank savings worth protecting ?

Why must they be punished for " Crimes of Commissions and Omissions " committed by :

>   Lax ( or conniving ? ) Bank Managers who gave out those loans without 

     sufficient collateral or dragged their feet on recovery ?

>   Loan Defaulters who siphoned off the loan money in personal accounts or

      undeclared assets , with impunity  ?

>   Law Makers who failed to pass iron-clad acts with stringent penalties for 

     willful defaulters  ?  

In the meantime , some 17,000 farmers continue to commit suicide EVERY YEAR , for being unable to repay bank loans of a few thousands of rupees  !

And the worst part is :

History will repeat itself , all over , 10 years from now !

Vested interests will ensure " statusquo  ante " !

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

hemen  parekh

02 Aug  2015

B2BmessageBlaster

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Make    Yourself    Heard

Dear Visitor :

It is time for YOU to speak up - and demand that YOU are heard

By emailing this suggestion - incorporating your OWN improvements - to the following Policy Makers

(  Just multiple copy all the following Email IDs into the Recipient column of your Outlook and Copy / paste this suggestion in the Message Box ) :


    narendramodi1234@gmail.com; 38ashokroad@gmail.com;ajaitley@del5.vsnl.net.in; jayant.sinha19@sansad.nic.in;piyush.goyal@gov.in;nitin.gadkari@nic.in; spprabhu1@rediffmail.com;bandaru@sansad.nic.in;smritizirani@nic.in;nsitharaman@nic.in; ravis@sansad.nic.in;sureshprabhu@irctc.co.in;prakash.j@sansad.nic.in;secy-ipp@nic.in; amitabh.kant@nic.in; shaktikanta.das@nic.in; rsecy@nic.in; adhia1981@gmail.com; ceo-niti@nic.in; atul-chaturvedi@nic.in; uma.bharati@sansad.nic.in; d.pradhan@sansad.nic.in; rprudy.office@gmail.com; rudypr@rediffmail.com; eam@mea.gov.in; mosvks@mea.gov.in; mvnaidu@sansad.nic.in; mnaqvi@sansad.nic.in; rao.inderjit@sansad.nic.in; mljoffice@gov.in; sadananda.gowda@sansad.nic.in; ministerminority@gov.in; najmah@sansad.nic.in; minister-ca@nic.in; ramvilas.paswan@sansad.nic.in; gandhim@sansad.nic.in; akumar-alpha@sansad.nic.in; jpnadda@sansad.nic.in; hm.moca@nic.in; geete@sansad.nic.in; simratbadal@yahoo.com; ns.tomar@nic.in; rmsingh@sansad.nic.in; tc.gehlot@sansad.nic.in; dr.harshvardhan@sansad.nic.in